Observations from the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament
Items worth noting when looking back at the Regionals…
–Omaha will look much different than it did a season ago. Three of last year’s eight CWS participants did not even make the field this time around, including the defending National Champion (Coastal Carolina). The National runner up from a year ago (Arizona) bowed out early in regional play. After one round, only two of Omaha’s eight from 2016 are still alive for a possible return trip. Though Florida and TCU will both be hosting Super Regionals, nothing comes easy this time of year.
–Some things are already assured. There will be at least one SEC team and one Big West representative in Omaha based upon the Super Regional pairings. National seed LSU hosts Mississippi State at Alex Box Stadium this weekend, assuring the SEC of at least one club. Cal State Fullerton travels to Long Beach State for an all Big West showdown this weekend as well.
-Conference success highlights the strength of the “southeastern conferences.” This obviously references both the ACC and SEC, a pair of power conferences which will battle head to head for two of the eight Omaha spots (Louisville vs Kentucky / Florida vs Wake Forest). Based on Super Regional pairings, there exists the mathematical possibility that 6 of the 8 College World Series participants could hail from these two conferences.
Here is how each conference with teams still alive performed in the regional round…6 of 8 SEC teams advanced with a potential of 5 in Omaha / 3 of 7 ACC teams advanced with a potential of 3 in Omaha / Only 1 of the 7 Big 12 schools in the tournament advanced / 1 of 4 Pac 12 schools survived the first round / The Big West went 2 for 2 and will have a club in Omaha / Southland and Missouri Vally teams were each 1 of 2 / The Atlantic 10 was a perfect 1 for 1 with Davidson cashing in on its very first tournament appearance.
The following conferences failed to place a team in the Super Regional round… Big 10 – 0 for 5 / American – 0 for 3 / Big East & Conference USA – 0 for 2.
Suffice it to say that the Big 12, after earning so much respect a year ago by going 3 for 3 to Omaha, took a major step back perception-wise in the regional round. The Big 10, however, may have the hardest sell in the future. A conference which stole away a number of key bids in a season where the bubble was very tight ended up with nothing to show for the NCAA selection committee’s major vote of confidence.
Reminders looking forward to the Super Regionals…
-Recent history is not on the side of the National Seeds. North Carolina, Texas Tech and Stanford need no reminders, those three clubs were eliminated at home this past weekend. While the 5 remaining favorites to reach Omaha feature a number of powerhouse clubs and a dominant Oregon State pitching staff, it is worth remembering that a number one overall seed has not won the tournament this millennium (Miami last did so in 1999). In fact, the last five teams (and eleven of the past thirteen) to hoist the National Championship trophy have all come from outside the top eight national seeds.
–Several programs are competing in Supers for the very first time, one may come as a surprise. While Davidson and Sam Houston State are clearly new to the party, the showdown in the Bluegrass state also features a team never having competed this deep into the tourney. The Wildcats of Kentucky entered 2017 as the only SEC team never having reached the Super Regional round. It has taken Nick Mingione just one season to change all that. He has the ‘Cats headed across state for the highest profile Super Regional of the year.